Big money on the +1, draw, and moneyline.
letsgohoosiers New member Joined Oct 17, 2008 Messages 3,131 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #1 Big money on the +1, draw, and moneyline.
Ttratter Member Joined Nov 3, 2009 Messages 4,648 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #2 When you say big money give me an example of what you would bet here. Equal money on all three?
letsgohoosiers New member Joined Oct 17, 2008 Messages 3,131 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #3 Ttratter said: When you say big money give me an example of what you would bet here. Equal money on all three? Click to expand... EDGE on each bet based on current numbers: Australia +650 4.84% Draw +310 4.80% Australia +1 +100 8.96% Risk to win those percentages of your bankroll.
Ttratter said: When you say big money give me an example of what you would bet here. Equal money on all three? Click to expand... EDGE on each bet based on current numbers: Australia +650 4.84% Draw +310 4.80% Australia +1 +100 8.96% Risk to win those percentages of your bankroll.
Ttratter Member Joined Nov 3, 2009 Messages 4,648 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #4 wow the +1 is really huge. good stuff.
goblue12 New member Joined Nov 28, 2008 Messages 1,654 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #5 4.84% of your bankroll on a 13.33% probability. God bless Kelly Criterion.
TheSaint New member Joined Feb 18, 2008 Messages 5,577 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #6 letsgo, you just play based on the numbers, correct? thanks and good luck.
letsgohoosiers New member Joined Oct 17, 2008 Messages 3,131 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #7 goblue12 said: 4.84% of your bankroll on a 13.33% probability. God bless Kelly Criterion. Click to expand... You risk TO WIN 4.84% of your bankroll as Kelly maximizes expected profit, so on a +650 it would be 0.74 +700 available at Justbet and +315 on draw.
goblue12 said: 4.84% of your bankroll on a 13.33% probability. God bless Kelly Criterion. Click to expand... You risk TO WIN 4.84% of your bankroll as Kelly maximizes expected profit, so on a +650 it would be 0.74 +700 available at Justbet and +315 on draw.
goblue12 New member Joined Nov 28, 2008 Messages 1,654 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #8 So then it's actually... Australia +1 (+100) 8.96 to win 8.96 Australia - Germany Draw (+310) 1.17072 to win 4.8 Australia (+650) 0.645172 to win 4.84 Only took me 2 edits to finally calculate it correctly (I think).
So then it's actually... Australia +1 (+100) 8.96 to win 8.96 Australia - Germany Draw (+310) 1.17072 to win 4.8 Australia (+650) 0.645172 to win 4.84 Only took me 2 edits to finally calculate it correctly (I think).
letsgohoosiers New member Joined Oct 17, 2008 Messages 3,131 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #9 goblue12 said: So then it's actually... Australia +1 (+100) 8.96 to win 8.96 Australia - Germany Draw (+310) 1.17072 to win 4.8 Australia (+650) 0.645172 to win 4.84 Only took me 2 edits to finally calculate it correctly (I think). Click to expand... DRAW Risk to win 4.8 units on +310. Risk amount is 4.8/3.1 = 1.55 units AUSTRALIA Risk to win 4.84 units on +650. Risk amount is 4.84/6.5 = .74 units
goblue12 said: So then it's actually... Australia +1 (+100) 8.96 to win 8.96 Australia - Germany Draw (+310) 1.17072 to win 4.8 Australia (+650) 0.645172 to win 4.84 Only took me 2 edits to finally calculate it correctly (I think). Click to expand... DRAW Risk to win 4.8 units on +310. Risk amount is 4.8/3.1 = 1.55 units AUSTRALIA Risk to win 4.84 units on +650. Risk amount is 4.84/6.5 = .74 units
olim New member Joined Oct 3, 2009 Messages 1,950 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #10 letsgohoosiers said: EDGE on each bet based on current numbers: Australia +650 4.84% Draw +310 4.80% Australia +1 +100 8.96% Risk to win those percentages of your bankroll. Click to expand... am with you on this one....was on the draw and the +1 yesterday with USA...great calls ....nothing getting by you or blue these days...
letsgohoosiers said: EDGE on each bet based on current numbers: Australia +650 4.84% Draw +310 4.80% Australia +1 +100 8.96% Risk to win those percentages of your bankroll. Click to expand... am with you on this one....was on the draw and the +1 yesterday with USA...great calls ....nothing getting by you or blue these days...
LockedampLoaded New member Joined Feb 7, 2010 Messages 5,415 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #11 olim said: am with you on this one....was on the draw and the +1 yesterday with USA...great calls ....nothing getting by you or blue these days... Click to expand... What he said, but only had the draw yesterday. Thats all the local had
olim said: am with you on this one....was on the draw and the +1 yesterday with USA...great calls ....nothing getting by you or blue these days... Click to expand... What he said, but only had the draw yesterday. Thats all the local had
Ttratter Member Joined Nov 3, 2009 Messages 4,648 Tokens Jun 13, 2010 #12 Australia +1 looks like a solid ticket.
